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Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for OPHELIA-17
in Ireland, United Kingdomfrom 09 Oct 2017 09:00 UTC to 12 Oct 2017 15:00 UTC
Automatic impact report for tropical cyclone OPHELIA-17
alertimage

Current Green alert for wind impact in Ireland, United Kingdom as of 12 Oct 2017 15:00:00 UTC

This tropical cyclone is expected to have a low humanitarian impact based on the storm strength and the affected population in the past and forecasted path.

Current storm status

This report is for advisory number 28 of tropical cyclone OPHELIA-17 issued at 16 Oct 2017 03:00 UTC (GDACS Event ID 1000410, Latest episode ID: 28, inserted at 12 Oct 2017 12:50 UTC ).

Current impact estimate:

  • Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 0
  • Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 185 km/h)
  • Vulnerability of affected countries:

Impact of Extreme Wind

1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  
Cloud map
Cloud map. Track and wind-buffer map. Green area: Area that can be affected by winds of more than 64 km/h (Tropical Storm strength). Orange area: Same, for winds of more than 92 km/h. Red area: Same, for winds above 120 km/h (Hurricane or Typhoon strength) (Source: JRC)
Cloud Map Zoomed on last forecast
Cloud Map Zoomed on last forecast. The zoomed map on the last track. (Source: JRC)

Affected population

Up to 22000 people people can be affected by wind speeds of cyclone strength or above. In addition, no people people are living in coastal areas below 5m and can therefore be affected by storm surge.

Affected provinces

Region Province Country Population
Connacht Ireland 420000 people
Scotland United Kingdom 5.1 million people

Affected Populated Places (first 20 records)

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Nearby and affected airports
Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft) Distance
Belmullet BLY unknown 0 3337 km
Benbecula BEB 6 Civ. Paved Yes 5400 3702 km
Major ports
Name LOCODE Country Distance
Blacksod Point Ireland 3324 km
Belmullet Ireland 3337 km
Benbecula United Kingdom 3698 km
North Uist United Kingdom 3713 km
Lochmaddy GBLMA United Kingdom 3719 km
Lewis United Kingdom 3788 km

See complete report

Event time line

The storm evolution is shown in the table below. Alert levels and population estimates are related to the area from a point to the next.

Advisory Alert color Date (UTC) Category Wind speed Wind gusts Population affected
by cyclone winds (>120km/h)
Location (lat, lon)
1
GREEN
09 Oct 2017 09:00 Tropical depression 56 km/h (34 mph) 74 km/h (46 mph) no people 31.1, -39.9
2
GREEN
09 Oct 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 65 km/h (40 mph) 83 km/h (52 mph) no people 31.4, -39.9
3
GREEN
09 Oct 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 74 km/h (46 mph) 93 km/h (57 mph) no people 31.5, -39.6
4
GREEN
10 Oct 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 83 km/h (52 mph) 102 km/h (63 mph) no people 32.3, -39
5
GREEN
10 Oct 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 83 km/h (52 mph) 102 km/h (63 mph) no people 31.9, -38.8
6
GREEN
10 Oct 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 83 km/h (52 mph) 102 km/h (63 mph) no people 31.5, -38.3
7
GREEN
10 Oct 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 93 km/h (57 mph) 111 km/h (69 mph) no people 31.1, -38
8
GREEN
11 Oct 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 83 km/h (52 mph) 102 km/h (63 mph) no people 30.7, -37.6
9
GREEN
11 Oct 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 102 km/h (63 mph) 120 km/h (75 mph) no people 30.2, -37
10
GREEN
11 Oct 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 111 km/h (69 mph) 139 km/h (86 mph) no people 30, -36.5
11
GREEN
11 Oct 2017 21:00 Category 1 120 km/h (75 mph) 148 km/h (92 mph) no people 30, -36.1
12
GREEN
12 Oct 2017 03:00 Category 1 139 km/h (86 mph) 167 km/h (103 mph) no people 30, -35.7
13
GREEN
12 Oct 2017 09:00 Category 1 139 km/h (86 mph) 167 km/h (103 mph) no people 30.3, -35.6
14
GREEN
12 Oct 2017 15:00 Category 1 148 km/h (92 mph) 185 km/h (115 mph) no people 30.5, -35.6
14
GREEN
13 Oct 2017 00:00 Category 1 148 km/h (92 mph) 185 km/h (115 mph) no people 30.9, -34.9
14
GREEN
13 Oct 2017 12:00 Category 1 148 km/h (92 mph) 185 km/h (115 mph) no people 31.6, -33.4
14
GREEN
14 Oct 2017 00:00 Category 1 139 km/h (86 mph) 167 km/h (103 mph) no people 32.7, -30.8
14
GREEN
14 Oct 2017 12:00 Category 1 139 km/h (86 mph) 167 km/h (103 mph) no people 34.4, -27.3
14
GREEN
15 Oct 2017 12:00 Category 1 139 km/h (86 mph) 167 km/h (103 mph) no people 40.9, -18.8
14
GREEN
16 Oct 2017 12:00 Category 1 120 km/h (75 mph) 148 km/h (92 mph) 23000 people 51, -12.5
14
GREEN
17 Oct 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 102 km/h (63 mph) 120 km/h (75 mph) no people 60.5, -5.5

Previous advisories

For accessing reports of previous advisories, please click on the advisory number in the table below.

IDAlert ColorDate (UTC)CategoryMaximum sustained
wind speed (km/h)
Population affected
by cyclone winds (>120km/h)
Affected countries
1 09 Oct 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 93 No people affected  
2 09 Oct 2017 15:00 Category 1 120 No people affected  
3 09 Oct 2017 21:00 Category 1 120 No people affected  
4 10 Oct 2017 03:00 Category 1 139 No people affected  
5 10 Oct 2017 09:00 Category 1 139 No people affected  
6 10 Oct 2017 15:00 Category 1 130 No people affected  
7 10 Oct 2017 21:00 Category 1 130 No people affected  
8 11 Oct 2017 03:00 Category 1 130 No people affected  
9 11 Oct 2017 09:00 Category 1 139 No people affected  
10 11 Oct 2017 15:00 Category 1 130 No people affected  
11 11 Oct 2017 21:00 Category 1 139 No people affected Portugal, Ireland
12 12 Oct 2017 03:00 Category 1 148 30 thousand Ireland
13 12 Oct 2017 09:00 Category 1 148 10 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
14 12 Oct 2017 15:00 Category 1 148 20 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
15 12 Oct 2017 21:00 Category 2 157 300 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
16 13 Oct 2017 03:00 Category 2 167 930 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
17 13 Oct 2017 09:00 Category 2 167 650 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
18 13 Oct 2017 15:00 Category 2 157 600 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
19 13 Oct 2017 21:00 Category 2 157 240 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
20 14 Oct 2017 03:00 Category 2 157 1.1 million Ireland, United Kingdom
21 14 Oct 2017 09:00 Category 2 157 920 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
22 14 Oct 2017 15:00 Category 3 185 720 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
23 14 Oct 2017 21:00 Category 3 185 560 thousand Ireland
24 15 Oct 2017 03:00 Category 3 185 2.5 million Ireland, United Kingdom
25 15 Oct 2017 09:00 Category 2 167 1.7 million Ireland, United Kingdom
26 15 Oct 2017 15:00 Category 1 148 7.9 million Ireland, United Kingdom
27 15 Oct 2017 21:00 Category 1 139 2.9 million Ireland, United Kingdom
28 16 Oct 2017 03:00 Category 1 139 1.2 million Ireland, United Kingdom

More information

Data resources

For a full list of available products related to this event, please refer to the GDACS Resources page.

About the data

JRC set up an automatic routine that includes the Tropical Cyclone (TC) bulletins produced by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) into a single database, covering all TC basins.

JRC calculates areas affected by high winds (wind buffers at 39, 58 and 74mph). This is done using the maximum reported wind radius (maximum of 4 quadrants) or, in case no wind radii are provided, through a regression analysis based on historical data. JRC also calculates the area affected by storm surge using HyFlux2 (hydrodynamic software).

Sources for data on critical infrastructure are: JRC NUMAS database (nuclear plants), ESRI (hydro dams, 1996), Global Discovery (airports, ports and cities).

Population data is from LandScan 2014.

Disclaimer

While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information. The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.