Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ASHOBAA-15 in Oman from 08 Jun 2015 12:00 UTC to 11 Jun 2015 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ASHOBAA-15

in Oman

11 Jun 2015 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ASHOBAA-15 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Oman
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	130 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (09 Jun 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	56 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	130 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

56 km/h Current Max.

Up to 15000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	07 Jun 2015 06:00	121	150 thousand	No people	Iran, Islamic Republic of, Pakistan
2	07 Jun 2015 12:00	121	90 thousand	No people	Iran, Islamic Republic of, Pakistan
3	07 Jun 2015 18:00	130	60 thousand	No people	Iran, Islamic Republic of, Pakistan
4	08 Jun 2015 00:00	130	240 thousand	No people	Iran, Islamic Republic of, Pakistan
5	08 Jun 2015 06:00	130	No people	No people
6	08 Jun 2015 12:00	130	340 thousand	No people	Oman, Iran, Islamic Republic of, Pakistan
7	08 Jun 2015 18:00	130	1.3 million	No people	Oman, Iran, Islamic Republic of, Pakistan
8	09 Jun 2015 00:00	130	2.7 million	No people	Oman, Iran, Islamic Republic of, Pakistan
9	09 Jun 2015 06:00	121	2.1 million	No people	Oman, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates
10	09 Jun 2015 12:00	111	2.1 million	No people	Oman, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates
11	09 Jun 2015 18:00	111	350 thousand	No people	Oman
12	10 Jun 2015 00:00	121	460 thousand	No people	Oman, Saudi Arabia
13	10 Jun 2015 06:00	121	200 thousand	No people	Oman, Saudi Arabia
14	10 Jun 2015 12:00	101	50 thousand	No people	Oman
15	10 Jun 2015 18:00	84	20 thousand	No people	Oman
16	11 Jun 2015 00:00	84	20 thousand	No people	Oman
17	11 Jun 2015 06:00	74	160 thousand	No people	Oman
18	11 Jun 2015 12:00	74	160 thousand	No people	Oman
19	11 Jun 2015 18:00	56	20 thousand	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	07 Jun 2015 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	15.5, 68.5
2	07 Jun 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	16, 68.6
3	07 Jun 2015 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	16.6, 68.3
4	08 Jun 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	17.7, 67.7
5	08 Jun 2015 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	18.2, 66.7
6	08 Jun 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	18.9, 66.3
7	08 Jun 2015 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	19.4, 65.8
8	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	20.2, 65.1
9	09 Jun 2015 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	20.6, 64.4
10	09 Jun 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	21.1, 62.9
11	09 Jun 2015 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	21.1, 62.7
12	10 Jun 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	16000 people	21.2, 61.8	Oman
13	10 Jun 2015 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	10000 people	21.1, 61.5	Oman
14	10 Jun 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	4400 people	20.9, 61.2	Oman
15	10 Jun 2015 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	20.6, 61.3
16	11 Jun 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	4600 people	20.6, 61	Oman
17	11 Jun 2015 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	27000 people	20.8, 60.6	Oman
18	11 Jun 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	150000 people	20.8, 60	Oman
19	11 Jun 2015 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	20.9, 60	Oman
19	12 Jun 2015 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	20.7, 59.3	Oman

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Oman	12000 people

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Ash Sharqiyah	Oman

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Masirah	MSH	19	Mil.	Paved	Yes	10000

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Duwwah		Oman

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Asarsa, India. This height is estimated for 09 Jun 2015 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (157 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 18 of 11 Jun 2015 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Asarsa	India	0.5
	09 Jun 2015 01:00	Shil	India	0.5
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Tankari	India	0.5
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Muler	India	0.5
	09 Jun 2015 05:00	Bhogat	India	0.5
	09 Jun 2015 01:00	Wadgam	India	0.5
	08 Jun 2015 20:00	Veraval	India	0.4
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Kambhat	India	0.4
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Kavi	India	0.4
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Sarod	India	0.4
	12 Jun 2015 07:00	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.4
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Ghogha	India	0.4
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Damka	India	0.4
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Olpad	India	0.4
	09 Jun 2015 02:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.4
	09 Jun 2015 01:00	Mahuva	India	0.4
	09 Jun 2015 02:00	Dahej	India	0.4
	09 Jun 2015 02:00	Jafarabad	India	0.4
	09 Jun 2015 03:00	Harinagar	India	0.4
	09 Jun 2015 02:00	Rohisa	India	0.4
	09 Jun 2015 02:00	Dharabandar	India	0.3
	12 Jun 2015 02:00	Maghilah	Oman	0.3
	09 Jun 2015 01:00	Surat	India	0.3
	09 Jun 2015 01:00	Jalalpur	India	0.3
	09 Jun 2015 01:00	Mahuver	India	0.3
	09 Jun 2015 03:00	Kotada	India	0.3
	09 Jun 2015 02:00	Delvada	India	0.3
	09 Jun 2015 02:00	Nawabandar	India	0.3
	09 Jun 2015 04:00	Bhagva	India	0.3
	09 Jun 2015 16:00	Ghuar Mota	India	0.3
	09 Jun 2015 02:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.3
	12 Jun 2015 02:00	Hiql	Oman	0.3
	09 Jun 2015 10:00	Suthri	India	0.3
	08 Jun 2015 20:00	Somnath	India	0.3
	12 Jun 2015 09:00	Ghalat	Oman	0.3
	08 Jun 2015 19:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.3
	09 Jun 2015 07:00	Ratia	India	0.3
	08 Jun 2015 21:00	Sutrapada	India	0.3
	09 Jun 2015 03:00	Mangrol	India	0.3
	09 Jun 2015 07:00	Adodar	India	0.3
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Bordi	India	0.3
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Umbargam	India	0.3
	08 Jun 2015 21:00	Kodinar	India	0.3
	08 Jun 2015 21:00	Lodhwa	India	0.3
	09 Jun 2015 03:00	Chorwad	India	0.3
	09 Jun 2015 02:00	Miyani	India	0.3
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Gholvad	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Maroli	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 12:00	Mandvi	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Porbandar	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 03:00	Lamba	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 01:00	Malyan	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 13:00	Ormara	Pakistan	0.2
	08 Jun 2015 23:00	Palghar	India	0.2
	08 Jun 2015 23:00	Mahim	India	0.2
	08 Jun 2015 22:00	Tarapur	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 12:00	Okha	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 05:00	Aramda	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 06:00	Bhadia	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 09:00	Dwarka	India	0.2
	12 Jun 2015 00:00	Shiinzi	Oman	0.2
	08 Jun 2015 23:00	Nalasopara	India	0.2
	08 Jun 2015 23:00	Agashi	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Dongri	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Vasai	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 17:00	Sika	India	0.2
	08 Jun 2015 22:00	Shirgaon	India	0.2
	08 Jun 2015 22:00	Boisar	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 05:00	Gadechi	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 07:00	Madhi	India	0.2
	12 Jun 2015 06:00	Sharkh	Oman	0.2
	12 Jun 2015 08:00	Dawwah	Oman	0.2
	12 Jun 2015 08:00	Dafiyat	Oman	0.2
	12 Jun 2015 08:00	Sur Masirah	Oman	0.2
	12 Jun 2015 08:00	Mursays	Oman	0.2
	08 Jun 2015 23:00	Malad	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 17:00	Mundra	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 16:00	Tuna	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 17:00	Jambura	India	0.2
	12 Jun 2015 03:00	Jazirah	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 17:00	Navinal	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 17:00	Chudeswar	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 17:00	Salaya	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 17:00	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 01:00	Mumbai	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 01:00	Trombay	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 07:00	Gorser	India	0.2
	12 Jun 2015 01:00	Abu Dhabi	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	12 Jun 2015 07:00	'Urf	Oman	0.2
	12 Jun 2015 07:00	Al Kalban	Oman	0.2
	12 Jun 2015 03:00	Tarif	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Asumumbay	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Uran	India	0.2
	12 Jun 2015 03:00	Ar Ruways	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Mandve	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 20:00	Brar	Pakistan	0.2
	12 Jun 2015 02:00	Bu Lifiyat	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 13:00	Udvada	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Alibag	India	0.2
	08 Jun 2015 19:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 15:00	Goth Lashkari	Pakistan	0.2
	12 Jun 2015 04:00	Dasah	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 13:00	Pasni	Pakistan	0.2
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.1
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Revadanda	India	0.1
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Murud	India	0.1
	09 Jun 2015 15:00	Goth Haji Muhammad	Pakistan	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 04:00	Zahr	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	09 Jun 2015 00:00	Navghar	India	0.1
	09 Jun 2015 13:00	Balaru	Pakistan	0.1
	09 Jun 2015 13:00	Daman	India	0.1
	08 Jun 2015 19:00	Srivardhan	India	0.1
	08 Jun 2015 18:00	Kelshi	India	0.1
	13 Jun 2015 00:00	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	09 Jun 2015 15:00	Ras Muari	Pakistan	0.1
	09 Jun 2015 20:00	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	09 Jun 2015 13:00	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	08 Jun 2015 19:00	Bankot	India	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 08:00	Salwa	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 08:00	As Salwa	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 08:00	Qasasil	Qatar	0.1
	13 Jun 2015 00:00	Filim	Oman	0.1
	11 Jun 2015 01:00	Gwadar	Pakistan	0.1
	08 Jun 2015 19:00	Boria	India	0.1
	08 Jun 2015 18:00	Guhagar	India	0.1
	08 Jun 2015 18:00	Anjanwel	India	0.1
	09 Jun 2015 13:00	Malan	Pakistan	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 08:00	Umm Bab	Qatar	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 10:00	Dukhan	Qatar	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 09:00	Al Uqayr	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	09 Jun 2015 20:00	Isa	Pakistan	0.1
	09 Jun 2015 16:00	Jhol	Pakistan	0.1
	09 Jun 2015 16:00	Keti	Pakistan	0.1
	09 Jun 2015 20:00	Naka Kharari	Pakistan	0.1
	09 Jun 2015 20:00	Gadani	Pakistan	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 06:00	Umm Said	Qatar	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 05:00	Ad Dawhah	Qatar	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 05:00	Al Wakrah	Qatar	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 11:00	Ar Rumaythah	Bahrain	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 11:00	Ad Dur	Bahrain	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 11:00	Jaww	Bahrain	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 12:00	Az Zallaq	Bahrain	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 13:00	Ra's Munaysif	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 13:00	Al Aziziyah	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 13:00	Al Qurayyah	Bahrain	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 13:00	Hamad Town	Bahrain	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 13:00	Salmbad	Bahrain	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 13:00	'Isa Town	Bahrain	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 13:00	Ar Rifa	Bahrain	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 13:00	Ar Rifa' ash Sharqi	Bahrain	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 13:00	Al Khubar	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 13:00	Karranah	Bahrain	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 13:00	Al Seef	Bahrain	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 13:00	Jidd Hafs	Bahrain	0.1
	12 Jun 2015 13:00	Al Manamah	Bahrain	0.1
	08 Jun 2015 17:00	Jaigarh	India	0.1
	11 Jun 2015 01:00	Barambah	Pakistan	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.